The weather becomes more active with chances of rain throughout the weekend

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Smoky sky

Smoky skies Wednesday morning in Eden Prairie. | DJ Kayser

As smoke continues to linger in the atmosphere, it was another fiery early morning sunrise in the area on Wednesday. This was my view at Eden Prairie on Wednesday morning.

AirNow’s fire and smoke map shows that smoke from the western United States and Canada continues to spread through the upper Midwest, with higher concentrations in western Minnesota during morning hours. Wednesday morning. The good news is that this smoke remains high, but some areas in metro and southern Minnesota recorded moderate air quality readings.

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The chances of a storm start to increase on Thursday

Forecast loop from Thursday 7:00 a.m. to Friday 7:00 a.m.

After a calm but foggy Wednesday, the weather is starting to get a bit more turbulent for the rest of the week into the weekend. An area of ​​low pressure will develop in the Dakotas on Thursday, slowly working its way through the upper Midwest on Friday. This will help trigger showers and storms Thursday, especially in northern Minnesota throughout the day. In the Twin Cities, we’re watching for slight luck during the day, but that luck will increase (especially just to our northwest) as we head into Thursday evening.

The series of showers and storms in northern Minnesota could lead to flooding, with a slight risk (Threat Level 2 out of 4) of excessive precipitation causing flooding there.

In the Twin Cities we will see this slight chance of a storm as we head through the day with partly sunny skies in place. Morning temperatures will be warmer than last – only dropping into the 60s – before the peaks climb into the mid 80s. We will see gusty southerly winds help pump this warmer air in gusts at times up at around 25 mph.

With the greatest chance of rain in northern Minnesota throughout the day, temperatures will only be in the 50s and 60s for areas from Grand Forks to the North Shore. As you head south, south of where a warm front will be positioned with the low pressure area to the west, highs will climb into the mid 80s.

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High Potential Friday

As the low pressure area continues to move across Minnesota on Friday, we may see storms re-develop through the afternoon and evening. Some of them could be severe, with marginal risk (threat level 1 in 5) in place from Hinckley to the Twin Cities in Rochester and western Wisconsin. We will be watching for the possibility of damaging winds as well as a tornado or two.

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Chances of rain continue into the weekend

While the potential for showers and storms will continue through the weekend across the region, most of Saturday is expected to be dry before the next disturbance comes through. This will bring the greatest chance of a storm Saturday evening through Sunday. These thunderstorms could contain heavy precipitation.

Rain forecast until 7 a.m. Monday.

The heaviest rains over the weekend will fall in northern Minnesota, where at least 2 to 4 inches of rain could fall. As mentioned above, this could lead to flooding.

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Fall Color Update

We are starting to see changes on the MN DNR fall color map in northwestern Minnesota, where Lake Hayes, Lake Bronson, and Old Mill are reporting 10-25% color. Bronson Lake State Park reported Sunday, “There is a lot of green there, however, the yellows and reds that signal the start of fall can be seen throughout the park.You can keep an eye on this map over the next few weeks from the MN DNR by clicking here.

Here is a handy map of the typical fall colors of the MN DNR. This runs from mid/late September in far northern Minnesota to mid-October in the downstate.

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Another very hot summer for the United States
By Paul Douglas

I like my Septembers the same way I like my steaks: smoked and medium-rare. In fact, I can live without the smoke from the Western wildfires, which produced a hazy shroud of white, sometimes obscuring the sun over Minnesota.

September is truly the 4th month of summer, with heat now sinking deeper into traditional fall. We regularly see many 80s and a few 90s, with less humidity and less chance of (severe) thunderstorms.

According to NOAA, the lower 48 states just experienced the 3rd hottest weather summer on record, second only to 2021 and 1936, the height of the Dust Bowl. Some of that simmering summer heat spills over into September.

Expect mid 80s today and a fairly good chance of T storms on Friday. Some can be strong, with small hail and gusty winds. Another round of thunderstorms could break out on Saturday night, but we should save a more typical mid-August partly sunny weekend.

I see 8 straight days of 80 degrees in the next week, but the return of 60 degrees at the end of next week will serve as a reality check.

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Paul’s Twin Towns Extended Forecast

THURSDAY: Hazy sun, windy. Wake 63. High 85. Chance of precipitation 20%. Wind S 15-25 mph.

FRIDAY: Few T-shaped thunderstorms, some violent. Wake 67. High 80. Chance of precipitation 70%. Wind S 10-15 mph.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny nocturnal T-storms. Wake 62. High 81. Chance of precipitation 60%. Wind SE 5-10 mph.

SUNDAY: A little sun, sticky. Wake 63. High 82. Chance of precipitation 30%. Wind O 5-10 mph.

MONDAY: Sunny. It always smells like August. Wake 64. High 83. Chance of precipitation 20%. Wind SE 7-12 mph.

TUESDAY: Veiled sun, quite hot. Wake 68. High 87. Chance of precipitation 10%. Wind S 5-10 mph.

WEDNESDAY: Windy and cooler with a passing shower. Wake 62. High 69. Chance of precipitation 30%. NW wind 15-25 mph.

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Minneapolis Weather Almanac and Solar Data
September 15

*Duration of the day: 12 hours, 31 minutes and 49 seconds
*Daylight LOST since yesterday: 3 minutes and 5 seconds

*When do we drop below 12 hours of daylight?: September 26 (11 hours, 57 minutes, 40 seconds)
*When does the sun start to rise at/after 7am? : September 22 (7:00 a.m.)
*When does the sun start to set at/before 7:00 PM? : September 27 (7:00 p.m.)

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This day in weather history
September 15

1939: Minneapolis is experiencing a daily high of 98.

1916: St. Paul receives its first recorded snowfall.

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National weather forecast

A blocked border near the Texas coast across the Gulf of Mexico to Florida on Thursday will bring the threat of storms. Storms will also be possible with a system in the upper Midwest in the Rockies. At some of the higher elevations in the Rockies, snow could mix in.

Two areas of heavy rain will be possible through the end of the work week – one in the western Great Lakes and another across Florida. In these two areas, more than 3″ of rain will be possible.

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Power outages are on the rise, led by Texas, Michigan and California. Here’s what’s to blame

More from CNN: “Power outages in the United States are increasing, researchers reported on Wednesday, as extreme weather worsens due to the climate crisis, demand for electricity increases and the country’s energy infrastructure ages and becomes more vulnerable. . Analysis by Climate Central, a nonprofit research group, found that from 2000 to 2021, 83% of all reported power outages were caused by a weather-related event, forest fires fueled by drought to devastating storms such as tornadoes and hurricanes – many of which will only intensify with global warming. And these numbers are on an upward trend. The researchers reported that outages over the past 10 years increased by 64% over the previous decade.

Northeast drought endangers Massachusetts cranberry crop

More from Grist: “Massachusetts cranberry growers have had to deal with wildly fluctuating environmental conditions over the past few years. The 2015 and 2017 storms that Hanlon referenced killed some coastal Massachusetts cranberry bogs when they flooded them with seawater, extreme temperatures and vines parched by 2020 drought, and a deluge of rain pickled the state’s cranberry crop last year, leading to a nationwide shortage. Massachusetts is the nation’s second-largest cranberry producer behind Wisconsin, which also had a poor growing season last year.

Private Equity Still Investing Billions in Dirty Energy Despite Commitment to Clean Up

More from The Guardian: “Private equity firms funneling billions of dollars into dirty energy projects are exposing investors, including retirees, to unknown financial risks as the planet burns and governments face growing pressure to act. according to new research. The Climate Risk Scorecard, the first of its kind, ranks Carlyle, Warburg Pincus and KKR among the worst offenders among eight major private equity firms with large fossil fuel portfolios. All three continue to invest heavily in greenhouse gas-emitting projects without an adequate plan to move away from oil and gas, according to analysis by two nonprofit financial watchdogs of publicly available information. audience. Companies also have little transparency on political and climate lobbying, according to the report.

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Thank you for registering and have a nice day! Don’t forget to follow me on Twitter (@dkayserwx) and like me on Facebook (Meteorologist DJ Kayser).

– DJ Kayser

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