India May Face Intense But Short-lived Covid-19 Wave As Omicron Spreads: Report | Latest India News


India could see a surge in the growth rate of Covid-19 within days and head for an intense but short-lived virus wave as the highly infectious variant of omicron moves through the crowded nation closely of 1.4 billion.

“India is likely to experience a period of explosive growth in everyday cases and the phase of intense growth is relatively short,” Paul Kattuman, a professor at the Judge Business School at the University of Cambridge who has developed a Covid -19 India tracker, wrote in an email. “New infections will start to increase in a few days, maybe this week,” he said, adding that it was difficult to predict how far daily cases could go.

Kattuman and his team of researchers, developers of the India Covid tracker, are seeing a sharp rise in infection rates across India. The tracker highlighted six states as a “significant concern” in a December 24 memo, with an adjusted growth rate of new cases exceeding 5%. That had spread to 11 Indian states by Dec. 26, according to the tracker, which corrects for “day of the week effects” and other variations.

India, which has so far confirmed 34.8 million infections and 480,290 deaths, is already bracing for another massive outbreak, although only 653 cases of highly mutated omicron have been identified so far. now. Last week he cleared the booster shots and included teenagers between the ages of 15 and 18 in the inoculation program. Two other vaccines as well as the antiviral pill molnupiravir from Merck & Co. were approved by the local drug regulator on Tuesday.

India’s capital New Delhi closed cinemas, schools and gymnasiums and introduced restrictions on public gatherings on Tuesday – a day after reporting the most new cases in more than four months. The nighttime curfew will go into effect from 10 p.m. to 5 a.m. and bars, restaurants and offices will be 50% occupied.

These policy decisions underscore the harsh lessons India has learned after a deadly delta-led wave of the virus in April and May that pushed infections to a record high of over 400,000 a day. It has overwhelmed hospitals and crematoriums across the country and left its citizens to advocate for oxygen and other medical resources on social media platforms.

The Cambridge India tracker correctly called the peak of this devastating second wave in May and also predicted in August that India would see a slow burn in its curve of Covid infections until vaccine coverage was high enough . India crossed 1 billion doses of vaccine administered in October and new cases have plunged along with that milestone.

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